Jumat, 06 Mei 2016

Ebook Probability for Risk Management

Ebook Probability for Risk Management

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Probability for Risk Management

Probability for Risk Management


Probability for Risk Management


Ebook Probability for Risk Management

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Probability for Risk Management

This text is listed on the Course of Reading for the Exam P of the Society of Actuaries and the Exam 1 of the Casualty Actuarial Society. This unique text differs from most intermediate probability texts in that it focuses the theory directly on applications in the general field of financial risk management, including insurance, economics and finance. It will be appropriate for a first course in probability for students who have previously had two semesters of calculus. Past actuarial exam questions are included at the end of each chapter. This book will serve as an excellent background text for the more advanced probability material included on the Exams MLC and C of the SOA, Exams 3L and 4 of the CAS and the EA-1 Exam of the Joint Board for the Enrollment of Actuaries. It was designed for several audiences, including students of actuarial science, mathematical economics, finance and risk management. It will provide an interesting and appropriate preparation for mathematically gifted students in finance and economics. It is not abstract or proof-oriented. Rather, it shows the student how to use probability theory to solve real-world problems.

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Product details

Paperback

Publisher: ACTEX Publications; Second Edition edition (2006)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 156698548X

ISBN-13: 978-1566985482

Package Dimensions:

8.9 x 5.9 x 1.2 inches

Shipping Weight: 1.6 pounds

Average Customer Review:

4.6 out of 5 stars

32 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#361,902 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

Good book.

This book is exactly what I was looking for. I'm studying for the P exam, and this book helped me out with the basic concepts involved. I do not think that it is a standalone guide to get me through the exam, but combined with my other method (the infinite actuary), I feel very prepared. I will update this review after I sit for the exam.This book spoon-feeds you the basics, which is exactly what I needed. I was completely new to statistics and probability when I started studying for the P exam. I didn't even know what a standard deviation was, but my calculus was strong. I began studying the P exam program on the infinite actuary, but I felt like they threw too many difficult problems at me too quickly. I wanted a more crawl-walk-run approach. This book covers crawl and walk. After I work through a chapter in this book and do the exercises, I feel ready to tackle rougher problems on the infinite actuary or previous exam problems.Pros:Clearly explains each topic - all text examples are meant to strengthen your intuitive understandingCovers most if not all of the necessary topics on the examConcise, small, and easy to carry aroundYou do not need a pencil and paper handy to get something out of reading it - you can read it in waiting rooms or a little before bed and still get something out of itPlenty of crawl/walk level problems to make sure you understand each topicConsNo solutions manual availableSmall and short - some may expect more contentCheap binding and quality for the priceA bit pricey, but I feel like I got the most out of it

I'll try to re-review after I've taken my P/1, but I'm using the book to teach myself the material for the exam (though I have a decent background in stats and probability). I'm really enjoying the textbook so far (which is weird to say about a textbook), and it's relatively painless to understand the material. I didn't realize it when I purchased it, but the answers for problem sets are in the back, which is great for learning by working through them.Most textbooks are pretty hard to self-study with, but this one does a good job.

Honestly a fun text. Reads like a book and provides good prep for Exam P. Make sure you work all those examples.I would highly recommend pairing this with Ch 1-5 of Casella-Berger’s book to round out your Probability education.

This book is just want I needed to ease back into Statistics as it’s been over 10 years since I've touched a math book! It’s easy to follow and understand. My situation is much like another reviewer who said they needed a step by step book. Thanks to that reviewer, I decided to buy this book as oppose to some other one. Although I’m only in Ch 2, I feel much more confident with my abilities and as I work through the book, the materials are becoming more and more familiar.

I prefer to study this book because contains subject on probability, since discrete random variables, distribution for discrete and continuous cases.the book contains many examples and a set of excercises with answers at the back of the book.Also there are some special distributions like Poisson, Binomial, Gamma, Normal and Exponential in it.This book is a strong support for studing probability, statistics and decision making when I calculate risk in a manufacturing process.Jaime Z,January 25, 2015

useful for P exam

I bought this for preparing for the SOA P exam. The chapters contain lots of concrete examples and explanations that are not overly algebra-based. However, the problems in the book are not difficult enough for the book to be a standalone prep source.This book is good for those who are just starting to learn probability as needed on the SOA or CAS Exam 1, who need a book to "shoehorn" them into understanding how the formulas work and what they mean. You will quickly exhaust this book however, and will need more rigorous problem sets such as those written by Dr. Ostaszewski to make the "final push" for exam readiness.

Bought this book to study for actuarial Exam P/1 and was able to use this book in combination with plenty of practice problems to pass the exam on my first try. I would recommend this book to anyone looking to take the exam and go down the actuarial path.

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